# Sam Monson: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. **Claimed:** Sep 24, 2026 **Pundit:** Sam Monson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson **Outlet:** Check the Mic (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/check-the-mic-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/256/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV9063045304.mp3 7 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 super bowl pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 3 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > But because the Bills are wearing those great jerseys, I think they're gonna lose. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington commanders** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (77%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay Bucks** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Vikings by 1.5 · a toss-up, Vikings 50%, Buccaneers 50%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Bills by 7 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 4 (27%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet - **Miami Dolphins to pick at number 1** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet - **New Orleans Saints to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100) - Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0) - Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0) - Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0) - Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0) - John Pluym on New York Giants: Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sam-monson