# Dirk Koetter: Koetter's ballot: Josh Allen MVP, Allen also for Offensive Player of the Year, T.J. Watt DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Sauce Gardner DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Sean McDermott Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Dirk Koetter — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dirk-koetter
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 14.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

## The claims

- **Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Sean McDermott to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: T.J. Watt, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Sauce Gardner to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Sauce Gardner, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- T.J. Watt — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-watt
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Sauce Gardner — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sauce-gardner
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Bryan DeArdo on Joey Porter Jr.: The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6edcb85-bcff-47cb-ba7d-e09dc7549fe1 (scored 0)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Sam Darnold: Wright picks Seattle to beat New England in the Super Bowl by a 27-17 final score, describing a semi-comfortable win, and names Sam Darnold as their Super Bowl MVP pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ff42b18-5a45-40e1-b3b6-17612cfca395 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Drake Maye: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Willie Colon on Sam Darnold: Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6655a6f-9a44-46d4-8c76-0d96b7334211 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as their dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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