# LaVar Arrington: Arrington gave AFC division finishing orders without records: Bengals over Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cleveland; Buffalo winning the East by a long shot with Miami second, the Jets third and New England last; Houston winning the South ahead of Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indianapolis; and the Chargers winning the West over Kansas City, Denver and Las Vegas.

**Claimed:** Sep 4, 2025
**Pundit:** LaVar Arrington — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lavar-arrington
**Outlet:** 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe/hour-1-jonas-brady-lavar-afc-predictions

8 checkable claims — 4 division winners and 4 power rankings — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 31.9 out of 100, against 34.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I got the Texans winning it... I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Chargers to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Cincinnati Bengals to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- “I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two... Outside of the lonely number four Las Vegas Raiders”
  - Kind: Power Rankings · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- “I have New England at the bottom, all the way at the bottom... the New York Jets won't be far off from them... the runner up are the Fins. Yeah, the Miami Dolphins. I got the mat number two, and that means that Buffalo is going to win the AFC East”
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess
- “I got the Texans winning it... I put the Jags at too... But I got Tennessee at three and I got Indy at four.”
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 70 for a naive guess
- “I got them one, Baltimore two, Pittsburgh rounding it out at three. And yes, the Cleveland Brown's kicking the can at four”
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 90 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)
- Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100)
- Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100)

## More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Daniel DiBerardinis on Atlanta Falcons: Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a8e0b7c-9f1c-4c13-8138-1332d73b9b02 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on New York Giants: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Baltimore Ravens: Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/432d7268-d5b1-49f6-9435-12c9442d3023 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Baltimore Ravens: Parkins lays the points with the Eagles and Cowboys, takes Baltimore to beat Pittsburgh and win the AFC North, picks Carolina over Tampa Bay and Seattle over San Francisco, and says they'd probably pick the Rams to come out of the NFC. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23bf1e09-f607-4b9a-bdb4-888da7992c89 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Jacksonville Jaguars: Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/34345186-876a-4c4b-9567-9c289a6cbace (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Jacksonville Jaguars: Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15192136-24b9-4127-ac9d-69dc69aab3d5 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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