# Scott Bogman: Bogman made 11 first-round mock selections, including David Bailey to the Jets at No. 2, Jeremiah Love to the Giants at 5, and a Jets trade up to 32 for Ty Simpson.

**Claimed:** Apr 19, 2026
**Pundit:** Scott Bogman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/scott-bogman
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/nfl-mock-draft-with-trades-the-best-skill-position-sleepers-fantasy-landing-spots-after-round-1-ep-1998

12 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 21 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 71.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

> I'm taking David Bailey here. They have to pass rush.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **New York Jets to pick at number 32**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: New York Jets
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Detroit Lions: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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