# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal restates their preseason Super Bowl pick of the Ravens beating the Lions, agrees with Cowboys, Texans and Patriots picks in Week 3, takes the Ravens over Detroit in a high-scoring game they peg at 41-31, and calls Jacksonville a playoff team that could land the AFC's seven seed.

**Claimed:** Sep 19, 2025
**Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/week-3-picks-with-cynthia-frelund

8 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 playoff pick, 1 score prediction, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 18.2 out of 100, against 29.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I love points. I think it's like forty one to thirty one.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to beat Jags**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 21, 2025): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 47%, Jaguars 53%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Steelers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 21, 2025): Steelers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Steelers 52%, Patriots 48%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat Chicago Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 21, 2025): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 53%, Bears 47%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Baltimore Ravens 41 — Lions 31**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 35.78 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 22, 2025): Ravens by 4.5, total 53.5 · this 41–31 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 10) and more points (72). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens

## What others said about the same people

- Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c9216871-a4a2-4676-b3d8-2221daa70413 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Christian Booher on Anthony Lucas: Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/228a7c0e-608b-4043-a8fa-eb3f8b2c4ce8 (scored 0)
- Jared Koch on Houston Texans: Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2861ce9-d1de-4f34-b001-83e64c3f5770 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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