# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal called Alabama linebacker Jihad Campbell a first-round pick, said Trey Smith and Tee Higgins will not reach free agency, and predicted Matthew Stafford ends up with either the Raiders or Rams rather than the Giants.

**Claimed:** Feb 28, 2025
**Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/day-1-combine-standouts-and-players-to-watch-with

4 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I know teams don't want to draft three down linebackers too early, so he's he's a first round pick.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Trey Smith to move to Kansas City Chiefs**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Trey Smith, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tee Higgins to move — “will not make it to free agency”**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tee Higgins
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jihaad Campbell
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Stafford to move — “Raiders or Rams”**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Matthew Stafford
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Trey Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-smith
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Tee Higgins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tee-higgins
- Jihaad Campbell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jihaad-campbell
- Matthew Stafford — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-stafford

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)
- Zach Hicks on Kansas City Chiefs: Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ddbaddad-c15e-4e6f-a6ac-f066de6cdc2a (scored 97.62)
- John Middlekauff on Kansas City Chiefs: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 100)
- Alain Poupart on Kansas City Chiefs: Previewing the Week 3 home opener, he predicted the Chiefs would comfortably beat the Dolphins, saying Miami's defense couldn't contain Kansas City and its offense wasn't ready for a shootout. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3d70a16-8870-4e5e-80d7-047e5e6206bf (scored 73.81)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Adam Carlson on J.J. McCarthy: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 100)
- Greg Auman on J.J. McCarthy: Auman argues no quarterback is likely to replicate Sam Darnold's turnaround this season, but names five candidates. He expects Miami to hold a very high pick in the 2027 draft, and thinks J.J. McCarthy will eventually be traded for a late-round pick or cut by the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9b8eb78e-ddfa-4274-ac8f-17b069e6b87f (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on J.J. McCarthy: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on J.J. McCarthy: Named several players as candidates to be traded before Sunday's cut deadline, including Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy, Cardinals edge Josh Sweat and Steelers cornerback Joey Porter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1efd361e-309f-48ba-ab0a-28d77ff76942 (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on J.J. McCarthy: A CBS Sports piece lists veterans it expects could be traded before the 53-man roster deadline, including quarterbacks Anthony Richardson (with Buffalo floated as a landing spot), J.J. McCarthy and Will Howard, plus Jerry Jeudy, Joey Porter Jr., Tyrone Tracy Jr., Kayvon Thibodeaux, Josh Sweat, Kristian Fulton and Marist Liufau. It also says Mason Rudolph's and Drew Allar's roster spots in Pittsburgh are secure. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd269550-714b-4a52-b6e1-2ba079b58fef (scored 100)
- Matthew Coller on J.J. McCarthy: Coller argues J.J. McCarthy's development is far behind schedule and that he will likely end up needing a fresh start with another team rather than developing into the Vikings' answer at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9ffe221e-9c07-4fd5-9e59-a767ffbc691c (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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