# Connor Rogers: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.

**Claimed:** Nov 6, 2026
**Pundit:** Connor Rogers — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers
**Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/e5ffa681-5ddb-480a-bd47-b4fa0122146f/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b

11 checkable claims — 11 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 11 have settled, averaging 90.9 out of 100, against 45.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think the Saints win and cover this game.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots to beat Green Bay**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans to beat chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Texans by 5.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 2 in 3 (67%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Bucks**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos to beat Carolina**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New Orleans Saints to beat Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Saints by 4.5 · favorite pick, Saints about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Rams by 4.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Giants to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Giants by 3 · favorite pick, Giants 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- Eric Mangini on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0)
- Donte Johnson on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1731194b-2ff9-4142-b4ca-45a4097101ae (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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