# Jake Ciely: Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina.

**Claimed:** Feb 21, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1967

4 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 positional finish and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 86.6 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I am one hundred percent in agreement that Kyle Williams still deserves to be a top ten running back until further notice.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- “So I have Bejeon and Gibbs, Tier, McCaffrey, Taylor, a Chan, Cook, Hampton, Berkley, Henry... ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten [Kyren]... you have him a little lower. You have an eleven [Jeanty]... you've got at RB twelve [Chase Brown]... Jake, you've got him a twenty six [Skattebo]... you've got him at thirty three [Dowdle]... you have Tony Pollard here at thirty eight... Chewba Hubbard ECR thirty two. You've got him all the way forty two... he's ECR sixty one, but you've got him at fifty five [Sean Tucker]”
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 93.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Cam Skattebo, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
- **Rico Dowdle to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Rico Dowdle
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Cam Skattebo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-skattebo
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Rico Dowdle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rico-dowdle

## What others said about the same people

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/08184feb-e542-42cf-8898-8074d73513d7 (scored 42.86)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0)
- Michael Moore on Shedeur Sanders: In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e26319a3-10aa-49a6-a24d-a257521363f0 (scored 100)
- Zachary Pereles on Shedeur Sanders: Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dad75dd-1818-4a6a-91ea-832f491c2530 (scored 100)
- Nic Bodiford on Joe Fagnano: Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a13b9f29-bb76-4c56-b226-aca74b21f5b7 (scored 100)
- Garrett Podell on Carson Beck: Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2f499498-ebbe-41f8-8ea3-41fe96f79432 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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