# Marcus Mosher: Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft. **Claimed:** Aug 5, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-power-rankings-early-predictions-at-start-of-preseason/ 9 checkable claims — 3 season win totals, 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking, 1 surprise team call and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 74.9 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls. > It's hard to envision the Chiefs not reaching the AFC Championship Game, at minimum, again this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to finish with 5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 65 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots to pick at number 1** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 95.76 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess - **Today, we are ranking all 32 teams from 1 to 32 heading into the preseason.** - Kind: Power Rankings - Verdict: scored 71.04 out of 100, against 67.38 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Denver Broncos: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Denver Broncos: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) - John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60) - Nick Wright on Los Angeles Chargers: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cc9d1905-c3e9-4d7f-8dbb-0f840dbb7535 (scored 80) - Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Carolina Panthers: Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bf1a843e-6b29-497e-b58c-b8394d790374 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher