# Brendan Donahue: Donahue's most recent mock draft projected first-round selections for the 2023 NFL Draft, including Bryce Young No. 1 to Carolina, C.J. Stroud No. 2 to Houston, a Cardinals trade down to No. 11 and a Titans trade up to No. 3 for Anthony Richardson. **Claimed:** Apr 18, 2023 **Pundit:** Brendan Donahue — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/brendan-donahue **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/nfl-team-draft-needs-predictions-every-team/ 33 checkable claims — 31 mock draft picks and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 58 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 18 of 33 have settled so far, averaging 77.1 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Another mock draft expert, Brendan Donahue, predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida) *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Joey Porter Jr. to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Joey Porter Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Nolan Smith to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Nolan Smith, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Darnell Wright to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Darnell Wright, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Zay Flowers to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zay Flowers, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Adetomiwa Adebawore to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Adetomiwa Adebawore, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 3.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Tyree Wilson to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tyree Wilson, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kelee Ringo to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kelee Ringo, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 3.88 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **C.J. Stroud to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Will Anderson Jr. to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Will Anderson Jr., Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordan Addison to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordan Addison, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arizona Cardinals to pick at number 11** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 11.97 for a naive guess - **Devon Witherspoon to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Devon Witherspoon, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Hendon Hooker to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Hendon Hooker, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 11.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jalen Carter to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jalen Carter, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Bryce Young to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Tennessee Titans to pick at number 3** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 73.84 for a naive guess - **Anthony Richardson to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Anthony Richardson, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Peter Skoronski to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Peter Skoronski, New York Jets - Verdict: not settled yet - **Anton Harrison to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Anton Harrison, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Broderick Jones to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Broderick Jones, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dalton Kincaid to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dalton Kincaid, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Paris Johnson Jr. to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Paris Johnson Jr., Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bijan Robinson to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Bijan Robinson, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet - **Lukas Van Ness to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Lukas Van Ness, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Will Levis to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Will Levis, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Brian Branch to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brian Branch, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bryan Bresee to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Bryan Bresee, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quentin Johnston to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Quentin Johnston, New York Giants - Verdict: not settled yet - **Deonte Banks to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Deonte Banks, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Michael Mayer to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Michael Mayer, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Gonzalez to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Christian Gonzalez, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Myles Murphy to be picked “1st round pick”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Myles Murphy, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Joey Porter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joey-porter-jr - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Nolan Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nolan-smith - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Darnell Wright — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darnell-wright - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Zay Flowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zay-flowers - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Adetomiwa Adebawore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/adetomiwa-adebawore - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Tyree Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyree-wilson - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Kelee Ringo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kelee-ringo - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Will Anderson Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-anderson-jr - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Jordan Addison — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-addison - Devon Witherspoon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devon-witherspoon - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Hendon Hooker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hendon-hooker - Jaxon Smith-Njigba — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxon-smith-njigba - Jalen Carter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-carter - Bryce Young — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bryce-young - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Anthony Richardson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/anthony-richardson - Peter Skoronski — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/peter-skoronski - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Anton Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/anton-harrison - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Broderick Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/broderick-jones - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Dalton Kincaid — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalton-kincaid - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Paris Johnson Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/paris-johnson-jr - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Lukas Van Ness — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Will Levis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-levis - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Brian Branch — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-branch - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Bryan Bresee — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bryan-bresee - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Deonte Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deonte-banks - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Michael Mayer — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-mayer - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Christian Gonzalez — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-gonzalez - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Myles Murphy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/myles-murphy - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=brendan-donahue