# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus they expect Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable. **Claimed:** May 4, 2026 **Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/2026-nfl-win-totals-first-thoughts-with-seth-payne 9 checkable claims — 6 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 2.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 5. > my two favorite of the entire exercise so far is Over buccaneers eight and a. HALF *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Brandon Doughty to be picked “a third or fourth round, pick” (picks 64–139)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brandon Doughty - Verdict: scored 2.63 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 8.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Shedeur Sanders, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arizona Cardinals to finish with 4.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet - **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Brandon Doughty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brandon-doughty - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Wright on Chicago Bears: Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5049c576-4d69-4d73-a0ba-6296e5e50ff2 (scored 100) - Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Baltimore Ravens: Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e17eca2-e154-41f3-b116-389f8335f9c8 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c48e72df-628e-4f24-804f-5ce5f7a8e0e6 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Cincinnati Bengals: Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3f0c208-282f-4dfc-8ca1-5c966eee0be2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=gregg-rosenthal