# Clarence Hill: Clarence picked Buffalo over Denver, Seattle over San Francisco, and New England over Houston, in each case siding with the better quarterback. They also insisted Jake Ferguson will no longer be on the Cowboys in 2027.

**Claimed:** Jan 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Clarence Hill — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/clarence-hill
**Outlet:** DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/dlls-dallas-cowboys-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://tracking.swap.fm/track/xt6bq09fJCm8CxP7DUGF/dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/822/claritaspod.com/measure/prfx.byspotify.com/e/injector.simplecastaudio.com/d5ae5375-e417-4df4-8c3d-3d7ba352b111/episodes/a83835ab-59d1-4665-8e18-43fb67bf3c86/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=d5ae5375-e417-4df4-8c3d-3d7ba352b111&awEpisodeId=a83835ab-59d1-4665-8e18-43fb67bf3c86&feed=4Fqey2NA

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I picked Buffalo. I picked a better quarterback.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Seattle Seahawks to beat forty niners**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Seahawks by 6.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 72%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Denver**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jake Ferguson to move to Dallas Cowboys**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jake Ferguson, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Jake Ferguson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jake-ferguson
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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