# David Harrison: In their first post-free-agency mock draft, Harrison has the Commanders trade back with Cincinnati and select Carnell Tate at No. 10, Chris Johnson at No. 41, Jagger Burton at No. 147, Trey Moore at No. 187, VJ Payne at No. 209 and Vincent Anthony Jr. in the seventh round. **Claimed:** Mar 16, 2026 **Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison **Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/7d789ee6-53d5-443c-948d-7de2e8ce0368/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=7d789ee6-53d5-443c-948d-7de2e8ce0368&feed=psq7p3Ar 8 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 6 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 43.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > Carnell Tate, wide receiver out of Ohio State, come becomes the first pick in our first mock draft Monday following free agency. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Chris Johnson to be picked at number 41** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chris Johnson, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Victor Payne to be picked at number 209** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Victor Payne, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jager Burton to be picked at number 147** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jager Burton, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Trey Moore to be picked at number 187** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trey Moore, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 8.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Vincent Anthony to be picked “seventh round” (picks 217–257)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Vincent Anthony, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Chig Okonkwo to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chig Okonkwo, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trey Amos to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Trey Amos, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Chris Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-johnson - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Victor Payne — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/victor-payne - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Jager Burton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jager-burton - Trey Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-moore - Vincent Anthony — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/vincent-anthony - Chig Okonkwo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chig-okonkwo - Trey Amos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-amos ## What others said about the same people - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24) - Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100) - Gilberto Manzano on Washington Commanders: Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84ac6f54-01af-44ab-b97a-f742b2aa3d39 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison