# Cynthia Frelund: Freeland shared touchdown and yardage projections from her fantasy model, giving Marvin Harrison Jr. eight touchdowns to Malik Nabers' seven, Courtland Sutton eight to CeeDee Lamb's seven, David Montgomery seven rushing scores to DeAndre Swift's six, and about 400 rushing yards for Drake Maye; she also called Hunter Henry a sneaky favorite tight end pick. **Claimed:** Jul 21, 2025 **Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund **Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-monday-hour-2-dan-campbell-speaks-chiefs-outlook-and-season-projections 7 checkable claims — 7 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 37.3 out of 100, against 38.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Courtland Sutton, red zone threat... Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Courtland Sutton to record 8 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 62.84 for a naive guess - **Malik Nabers to record 7 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Malik Nabers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Marvin Harrison Jr. to record 8 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 40.37 for a naive guess - **CeeDee Lamb to record 7 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 27.68 for a naive guess - **David Montgomery to record 7 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: David Montgomery, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 92.38 for a naive guess - **D'Andre Swift to record 6 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: D'Andre Swift - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 18.16 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to record 400 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 77.78 out of 100, against 25.8 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Courtland Sutton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/courtland-sutton - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers - Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - CeeDee Lamb — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Denver Broncos: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Connor Rogers on Detroit Lions: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Detroit Lions: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Denver Broncos: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Detroit Lions: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) ## More player season numbers The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63) - Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84) - Shannon Sharpe on T.J. Watt: On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=cynthia-frelund