# Cynthia Frelund: Freeland shared touchdown and yardage projections from their fantasy model, giving Marvin Harrison Jr. eight touchdowns to Malik Nabers' seven, Courtland Sutton eight to CeeDee Lamb's seven, David Montgomery seven rushing scores to DeAndre Swift's six, and about 400 rushing yards for Drake Maye; they also called Hunter Henry a sneaky favorite tight end pick.

**Claimed:** Jul 21, 2025
**Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-monday-hour-2-dan-campbell-speaks-chiefs-outlook-and-season-projections

7 checkable claims — 7 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 37.3 out of 100, against 38.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Courtland Sutton, red zone threat... Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Courtland Sutton to record 8 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 62.84 for a naive guess
- **Malik Nabers to record 7 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Malik Nabers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to record 8 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 40.37 for a naive guess
- **CeeDee Lamb to record 7 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 27.68 for a naive guess
- **David Montgomery to record 7 rushing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: David Montgomery, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 92.38 for a naive guess
- **D'Andre Swift to record 6 rushing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: D'Andre Swift
  - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 18.16 for a naive guess
- **Drake Maye to record 400 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 77.78 out of 100, against 25.8 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Courtland Sutton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/courtland-sutton
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- CeeDee Lamb — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift
- Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c9216871-a4a2-4676-b3d8-2221daa70413 (scored 0)
- Christian Booher on Anthony Lucas: Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/228a7c0e-608b-4043-a8fa-eb3f8b2c4ce8 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Andrew Erickson on James Cook: Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac (scored 66.67)
- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Chris Broussard on Myles Garrett: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 91.67)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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