# Marcus Mosher: Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way they predict double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst. **Claimed:** Sep 3, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-week-1-power-rankings-texans-rise-into-top-5/ 12 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls, 2 playoff picks, 2 surprise team calls, 1 power ranking, 1 season win total, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 10 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 81.2 out of 100, against 78.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > As long as Patrick Mahomes is healthy, it will be a while before anyone overtakes the Kansas City Chiefs at the No. 1 spot. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Daniel Jones to move to New York Giants** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Daniel Jones, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Bo Nix to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to pick “inside the top 10” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Derek Carr to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Gardner Minshew to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Gardner Minshew, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - “NFL Week 1 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots” - Kind: Power Rankings - Verdict: scored 71.55 out of 100, against 67.38 for a naive guess - **Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chicago Bears to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bo-nix - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Derek Carr — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derek-carr - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Gardner Minshew — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/gardner-minshew - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0) - Michael Moore on Shedeur Sanders: In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e26319a3-10aa-49a6-a24d-a257521363f0 (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Shedeur Sanders: Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dad75dd-1818-4a6a-91ea-832f491c2530 (scored 100) - Nic Bodiford on Joe Fagnano: Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a13b9f29-bb76-4c56-b226-aca74b21f5b7 (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Drew Kendall: Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cad37b83-7924-4f90-9898-82a22fa12331 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher