# Nick Wright: Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers.

**Claimed:** Aug 27, 2025
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/what-s-wright-with-nick-wright-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/nick-wright-s-2025-nfl-predictions-win-total-overs-unders-sleeper-picks

13 checkable claims — 8 season win totals, 3 depth chart calls, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 48.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think that we have Mike Tomlin's first losing season as Aaron Rodgers' final season.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots to finish with 9–10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Joe Flacco, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Gabriel to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dillon Gabriel, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Miami Dolphins to finish with 7 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess
- **Denver Broncos to finish with 7 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess
- **Shedeur Sanders to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Shedeur Sanders, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Joe Flacco — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joe-flacco
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Dillon Gabriel — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-gabriel
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9443503e-89b7-461f-8b67-e99f60c8b5d2 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Dallas Cowboys: Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a11f697d-1616-4bbe-9b7f-5bde7c6653ea (scored 0)
- Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Detroit Lions: Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7fd60c68-daca-4b01-92cb-4ec7f89c6722 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Pittsburgh Steelers: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fb10c9f-9ceb-4be5-a8eb-c15baf405f23 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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