# Gavin Carlson: Carlson went game-by-game through the Rams' 2026 schedule, picking losses at Denver, at San Francisco, to Green Bay and in the Week 18 rematch with Seattle, finishing 13-4 as NFC West champions with a first-round bye.

**Claimed:** May 19, 2026
**Pundit:** Gavin Carlson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gavin-carlson
**Outlet:** Locked On Rams (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-rams-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/3fd73b/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/8dce8ffe-a488-4ce0-b9c9-e364b7dbd0dc/episodes/c0d6f776-e103-4739-bc09-eb8dd9972af9/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=8dce8ffe-a488-4ce0-b9c9-e364b7dbd0dc&awEpisodeId=c0d6f776-e103-4739-bc09-eb8dd9972af9&feed=a4Q6EDeU

19 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 season win total and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

> Rams win this game, they beat Tampa Bay, and that week 18 game against Seattle, it doesn't even matter. Rams have the division clinched by then.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat niners**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Arizona**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa Bay**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Kansas City Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to finish with 13 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Philly**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Buffalo Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Las Vegas Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on San Francisco 49ers: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 88.1)
- Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0)
- Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Denver Broncos: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Denver Broncos: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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