# Gavin Carlson: Carlson went game-by-game through the Rams' 2026 schedule, picking losses at Denver, at San Francisco, to Green Bay and in the Week 18 rematch with Seattle, finishing 13-4 as NFC West champions with a first-round bye.

**Claimed:** May 19, 2026
**Pundit:** Gavin Carlson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gavin-carlson
**Outlet:** Locked On Rams (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-rams-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/3fd73b/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/8dce8ffe-a488-4ce0-b9c9-e364b7dbd0dc/episodes/c0d6f776-e103-4739-bc09-eb8dd9972af9/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=8dce8ffe-a488-4ce0-b9c9-e364b7dbd0dc&awEpisodeId=c0d6f776-e103-4739-bc09-eb8dd9972af9&feed=a4Q6EDeU

19 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 season win total and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

10 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 60 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

> Rams win this game, they beat Tampa Bay, and that week 18 game against Seattle, it doesn't even matter. Rams have the division clinched by then.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Las Vegas Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Arizona**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Buffalo Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Philly**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Denver Broncos to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat niners**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to finish with 13 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Kansas City Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa Bay**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/005e6ad1-bc95-49da-9db2-3a9da2d5041d (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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