# Connor Rogers: Rogers took the Bears to beat the Patriots on Thursday night in a close game, and expected two questionable Patriots defenders to play despite their injury designations. **Claimed:** Oct 22, 2026 **Pundit:** Connor Rogers — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers **Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/9079c00a-7be2-4896-b21a-b4eb011ee0b3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b 3 checkable claims — 2 availability calls and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna take the Bears on the short week. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Chicago Bears to beat Patriots** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 22, 2026): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play.** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Christian Elliss, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kevin Bayard. Yeah. He logged full practices, but he's still questionable. I think he'll play.** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Kevin Byard, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Christian Elliss — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Kevin Byard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kevin-byard ## What others said about the same people - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on Chicago Bears: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 100) - Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62) - Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29) - Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0) ## More availability calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ralph Ventre on Keon Coleman: Ventre states that despite being limited in all three practices with a shoulder issue and wearing a red non-contact jersey, Bills receiver Keon Coleman will be available to play in the Monday night game at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ac964a8-6d9f-4fc4-95e2-1921a97e07ac (not settled) - Trevor Ripley on Kyler Murray: Ripley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d007779f-687d-4623-87c1-8a62c6d62b06 (not settled) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Travis Etienne: In his Week 10 waiver column, Fitzmaurice predicted Jonathan Taylor would likely be traded by the deadline, expected Travis Etienne Jr. not to return in Week 10 while Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson and Kyle Monangai return soon, and saw Shedeur Sanders holding Cleveland's starting job and Konata Mumpfield working as the Rams' top receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42706ae3-f6eb-45cb-8fc9-8c24b1e4ff0e (not settled) - Jordan Woodson on Deshaun Watson: Woodson expects Deshaun Watson to come back from his concussion in Week 10, limiting Shedeur Sanders to a late-season contingency, and thinks Jordan Watkins could remain San Francisco's top receiver against Dallas in Week 10 with Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr. banged up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f328b561-a07d-4c25-81f4-5c8cd39d2754 (not settled) - Carter Bahns on J.J. McCarthy: Bahns expects J.J. McCarthy to keep playing beyond this week despite the hip/side injury scare against the Eagles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ffb4b1d7-6ae3-4f2e-bb3f-696f994d1486 (not settled) - Bill Huber on Christian Watson: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (not settled) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=connor-rogers