# Colin Cowherd: Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. They also predict Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft. **Claimed:** Feb 7, 2025 **Pundit:** Colin Cowherd — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd/hour-2-prediction-for-the-big-game-on-sunday 15 checkable claims — 7 position group rankings, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 11 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 57.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **A.J. Brown to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia 27** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 14.29 out of 100, against 62.56 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Feb 9, 2025): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 30–27 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 3) and more points (57). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - “We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?” - Kind: Position Group Rankings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - “wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia” - Kind: Position Group Rankings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - “tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey” - Kind: Position Group Rankings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - “running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia” - Kind: Position Group Rankings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - “Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.” - Kind: Position Group Rankings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - “let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker” - Kind: Position Group Rankings · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drops”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders - Verdict: not settled yet - “So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's” - Kind: Position Group Rankings · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Shedeur Sanders, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes - Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) - Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100) - Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Josh Downs: Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c94482-ef71-413f-834b-2a246271691d (scored 100) ## More position group rankings The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Rich Eisen: Eisen ranked their top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2a3ce061-cd05-485c-9f71-c7d0ce390a1a (scored 75) - Gregg Rosenthal: In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. They also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5539f810-db04-4de0-bf1f-5e3006379250 (scored 75) - Nick Shook: Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. They also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eefce1fd-b4db-4466-b850-79c0f88969a9 (scored 0) - Brandon Graham: Graham ranked their top five wide receiver duos with the Eagles first, and predicted Philadelphia returns to the Super Bowl, the Rams make the playoffs again, and picked the Commanders' duo over the Cowboys' new pairing. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a054e705-4e72-4c3f-b475-95b2643e8699 (scored 0) - Kyle Brandt: Kyle Brandt ranked their top five NFL wide receiver duos, deliberately excluding newly formed pairings, with Cincinnati first and Tampa Bay fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88c49d42-2a19-4ded-807c-4ac54bece76b (scored 40) - Jamie Erdahl on Los Angeles Rams: Erdahl ranked their top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/331b284f-f71c-4588-9b70-948bf0e82147 (scored 80) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=colin-cowherd