# Colin Cowherd: Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. He also predicts Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft.

**Claimed:** Feb 7, 2025
**Pundit:** Colin Cowherd — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd/hour-2-prediction-for-the-big-game-on-sunday

15 checkable claims — 7 position group rankings, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 57.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 14.29 out of 100, against 62.56 for a naive guess
- **Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drops”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Shedeur Sanders, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes
- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Philadelphia Eagles: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 0)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)
- Zach Hicks on Kansas City Chiefs: Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ddbaddad-c15e-4e6f-a6ac-f066de6cdc2a (scored 97.62)

## More position group rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rich Eisen: Eisen ranked his top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2a3ce061-cd05-485c-9f71-c7d0ce390a1a (scored 75)
- Gregg Rosenthal: In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. He also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5539f810-db04-4de0-bf1f-5e3006379250 (scored 75)
- Nick Shook: Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eefce1fd-b4db-4466-b850-79c0f88969a9 (scored 0)
- Brandon Graham: Graham ranked his top five wide receiver duos with the Eagles first, and predicted Philadelphia returns to the Super Bowl, the Rams make the playoffs again, and picked the Commanders' duo over the Cowboys' new pairing. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a054e705-4e72-4c3f-b475-95b2643e8699 (scored 0)
- Kyle Brandt: Kyle Brandt ranked his top five NFL wide receiver duos, deliberately excluding newly formed pairings, with Cincinnati first and Tampa Bay fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88c49d42-2a19-4ded-807c-4ac54bece76b (scored 40)
- Jamie Erdahl on Los Angeles Rams: Erdahl ranked her top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/331b284f-f71c-4588-9b70-948bf0e82147 (scored 80)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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