# Bill Huber: Ahead of final cuts, Huber assigns Packers players probability tiers for making the 53-man roster, calling 40 players locks and another 12 more likely than not to stick, while projecting Keisean Nixon as a Week 1 starting cornerback, Tyrod Taylor as the backup QB, Skyy Moore as the returner, and Micah Parsons, Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley opening the season on PUP.

**Claimed:** Aug 28, 2026
**Pundit:** Bill Huber — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/packers/onsi/packers-lock-o-meter-4-0-projects-53-man-roster-including-josh-jacobs

59 checkable claims — 55 roster spot calls and 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 56 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

46 of 59 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 89.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Nixon probably will be a Week 1 starter opposite Brandon Cisse.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Josh Jacobs to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Savion Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Savion Williams, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Zaire Franklin to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zaire Franklin, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Isaiah McDuffie to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Isaiah McDuffie, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Skyy Moore to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Skyy Moore, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ty'Ron Hopper to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Ty'Ron Hopper, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brandon Cisse to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brandon Cisse, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Xavier McKinney to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Xavier McKinney, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Javon Hargrave to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Javon Hargrave, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Lukas Van Ness to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Lukas Van Ness, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian Watson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **MarShawn Lloyd to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jacob Monk to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jacob Monk, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chris Brooks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chris Brooks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Orzech to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Matthew Orzech, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tucker Kraft to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Warren Brinson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Warren Brinson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Whelan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Daniel Whelan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Nick Niemann to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Nick Niemann, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Bo Melton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bo Melton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Evan Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Evan Williams, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kitan Oladapo to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kitan Oladapo, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Javon Bullard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Javon Bullard, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Anthony Belton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Anthony Belton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jordan Love to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jordan Morgan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordan Morgan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brenton Cox Jr. to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brenton Cox Jr., Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Josh Whyle to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josh Whyle, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jonnu Smith to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jonnu Smith, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Karl Brooks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Karl Brooks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Golden to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Sean Rhyan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sean Rhyan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Keisean Nixon to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Keisean Nixon, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jonathan Ford to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jonathan Ford, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Carrington Valentine to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Carrington Valentine, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Edgerrin Cooper to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Edgerrin Cooper, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Barryn Sorrell to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Barryn Sorrell, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Devonte Wyatt to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Devonte Wyatt, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Benjamin St-Juste to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Benjamin St-Juste, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jager Burton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jager Burton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Trey Smack to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Trey Smack, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Kamal Hadden to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kamal Hadden, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chris McClellan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chris McClellan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jayden Reed to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Banks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Aaron Banks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyrod Taylor to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Darian Kinnard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Darian Kinnard, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Collin Oliver to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Collin Oliver, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Micah Parsons — “starts the regular season on the PUP list”**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Micah Parsons, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Deny Dennis Sutton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Deny Dennis Sutton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyrod Taylor to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordon Riley — “starts the regular season on the PUP list”**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordon Riley, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Domani Jackson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Domani Jackson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Skyy Moore to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Skyy Moore, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keisean Nixon to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Keisean Nixon, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Luke Musgrave — “starts the regular season on the PUP list”**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Luke Musgrave, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mark Perry to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mark Perry, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mark Perry to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Mark Perry, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zach Bako-Bewele to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zach Bako-Bewele, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Savion Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/savion-williams
- Zaire Franklin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zaire-franklin
- Isaiah McDuffie — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/isaiah-mcduffie
- Skyy Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/skyy-moore
- Ty'Ron Hopper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-ron-hopper
- Brandon Cisse — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brandon-cisse
- Xavier McKinney — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-mckinney
- Javon Hargrave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javon-hargrave
- Lukas Van Ness — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd
- Jacob Monk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacob-monk
- Chris Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-brooks
- Matthew Orzech — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-orzech
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Warren Brinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/warren-brinson
- Daniel Whelan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-whelan
- Nick Niemann — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-niemann
- Bo Melton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bo-melton
- Evan Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/evan-williams
- Kitan Oladapo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kitan-oladapo
- Javon Bullard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javon-bullard
- Anthony Belton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/anthony-belton
- Jordan Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-love
- Jordan Morgan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-morgan
- Brenton Cox Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brenton-cox-jr
- Josh Whyle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-whyle
- Jonnu Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonnu-smith
- Karl Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/karl-brooks
- Matthew Golden — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-golden
- Sean Rhyan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sean-rhyan
- Keisean Nixon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keisean-nixon
- Jonathan Ford — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-ford
- Carrington Valentine — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carrington-valentine
- Edgerrin Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/edgerrin-cooper
- Barryn Sorrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/barryn-sorrell
- Devonte Wyatt — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonte-wyatt
- Benjamin St-Juste — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/benjamin-st-juste
- Jager Burton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jager-burton
- Trey Smack — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-smack
- Kamal Hadden — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamal-hadden
- Chris McClellan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-mcclellan
- Jayden Reed — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-reed
- Aaron Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-banks
- Tyrod Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyrod-taylor
- Darian Kinnard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darian-kinnard
- Collin Oliver — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/collin-oliver
- Micah Parsons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/micah-parsons
- Deny Dennis Sutton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deny-dennis-sutton
- Jordon Riley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordon-riley
- Domani Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/domani-jackson
- Luke Musgrave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/luke-musgrave
- Mark Perry — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mark-perry
- Zach Bako-Bewele — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zach-bako-bewele

## What others said about the same people

- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c9216871-a4a2-4676-b3d8-2221daa70413 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Green Bay Packers: Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fbf1f78-2f2a-49cf-8052-89897c9a1ff8 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Green Bay Packers: Harmon picked the Packers, Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in Week 9, predicted Justin Jefferson would top 100 receiving yards with two touchdowns against Buffalo, and said Minnesota would lose and then trade for Jonathan Taylor. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6e687e7-59f9-430a-90a5-b3c0da4e3e20 (scored 100)

## More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=bill-huber
