# Nick Shook: Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. They also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.

**Claimed:** Apr 9, 2025
**Pundit:** Nick Shook — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-shook
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/early-win-totals-takeaways-and-ol-draft-preview

4 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 52.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Joshua Gray
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess
- **Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Armand Membou
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)**
  - Kind: Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · About: Will Campbell
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Joshua Gray — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joshua-gray
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Armand Membou — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/armand-membou
- Will Campbell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-campbell

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- Justin Penik on Aaron Jones: Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4af0c93c-46f5-4a2c-ae24-e6ffa81a6559 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Sam Darnold: Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bab8f84-0dc0-4acd-88d5-539898948d95 (scored 0)

## More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Joe Marino on Arvell Reese: Marino stacks 14 inside linebackers in the 2026 NFL draft class and assigns each a round-value grade, with Sonny Styles first (top-10 grade) and Anthony Hill third; they say Hill would be their preferred pick if Buffalo takes a linebacker at No. 26. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa349c5e-12c5-4b82-84ad-aff5d3bba78b (scored 100)
- Ian Rapoport on Tetairoa McMillan: Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab1b5fb3-d399-4b59-87fa-3e683b3cad77 (scored 70.71)
- Peter Schrager on Tetairoa McMillan: Schrager laid out their top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6346ea38-e7e1-45a3-a146-5231338dd001 (scored 70.71)
- Matty Lane on Spencer Fano: Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/61fb26a0-be21-4ad0-bc4f-de49db439f63 (scored 100)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Spencer Fano: Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/81b98180-a971-4b4f-a610-5aa2906a1ea5 (scored 70.71)
- Andrew Erickson on Olaivavega Ioane: Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88315169-60bb-4af0-81da-7655ff0aa282 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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