# John Breech: A CBS Sports piece presenting analytics expert Stephen Oh's post-Week 1 simulation projects the full AFC and NFC playoff fields, every playoff game result, and the Seahawks beating the Ravens in Super Bowl LXI.

**Claimed:** Sep 16, 2026
**Pundit:** John Breech — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2026-nfl-playoff-predictions-week-1-super-bowl/

39 checkable claims — 14 playoff picks, 12 game outcome picks, 8 division winners, 2 conference champions, 2 seeding, byes and home field and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 39 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> This works in Seattle's favor with the Seahawks becoming the first NFC team in 31 years to win back-to-back Super Bowls.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bengals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Houston Texans to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Lions**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Jaguars**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Philadelphia Eagles to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chicago Bears to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Atlanta Falcons to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Denver Broncos to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)

## More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Minnesota Vikings: Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29ea2738-79a2-4be9-aa45-e794cd3848fb (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Carolina Panthers: Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/34345186-876a-4c4b-9567-9c289a6cbace (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Pittsburgh Steelers: Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called their shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. They also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7792215a-c787-44bd-b294-5ff028851d30 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Green Bay Packers: Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1f7633c5-427b-4993-8849-3f53865241bd (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on New England Patriots: Eisen gave their Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/960141f1-11b7-4c57-9ef8-0f7b8b41bc99 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=john-breech
