# Charlie Campbell: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if he declares.

**Claimed:** Oct 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Charlie Campbell — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/charlie-campbell
**Outlet:** Walter Football — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/walter-football
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://walterfootball.com/draft2027stock_07.php

5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Becker looks like a top-10 pick for the 2027 NFL Draft.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Xavier Williams to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Xavier Williams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arch Manning to be picked “first-round pick (if he enters the draft)” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Charlie Becker to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Charlie Becker
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kelley Jones to be picked “first-rounder next April” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kelley Jones
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Trevor Goosby to be picked “legit top-10 pick next April” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trevor Goosby
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Xavier Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-williams
- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Charlie Becker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/charlie-becker
- Kelley Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kelley-jones
- Trevor Goosby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-goosby

## What others said about the same people

- Mike Renner on Trevor Goosby: Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c757802e-5a1c-45ab-8c40-225fb8a6e1a9 (scored 0)
- Kyle Crabbs on Arch Manning: In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/851c6bce-ef17-4f39-8c0f-58744c8d8f72 (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Arch Manning: Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/131d5e9e-fb6e-4065-b724-39f59b1083a6 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Arch Manning: Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2baf62d9-875a-4021-b4ba-f8e02158c8bb (scored 0)
- Brady Quinn on Arch Manning: Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/93e9a9eb-9946-49bd-a51b-8581c0e21b09 (scored 0)
- Steve Muench on Arch Manning: Muench suggested that Texas quarterback Arch Manning and Ole Miss quarterback Austin Simmons could both end up as first-round NFL draft picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5011f2f3-f169-4fe7-851a-489949ee2436 (not settled)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected him as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of his own from the 2024 pre-draft period, he suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in his 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)
- Rob Rang on Malachi Corley: Rang updated his quarterback board for the 2027 NFL Draft, moving Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss to No. 1 ahead of Dante Moore and Arch Manning, and sorting the 14 QBs into first-round, Day 2 and Day 3 tiers. He also projects Jeremiah Smith as the No. 1 overall pick and says Manning would be a first-round pick if eligible. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65667ef4-80c7-4bd1-a9ae-6c7aa8eb18b7 (scored 23.94)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=charlie-campbell
