# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson handled the even-numbered mock draft picks: David Bailey No. 2 to the Jets, Jeremiah Love No. 4 to the Titans, Karnell Tate No. 6 to the Browns, Ruben Bane No. 8 to the Saints, Jordan Tyson No. 10 to the Giants, and so on. He also said Ty Simpson will be the biggest first-round bust and predicted the Cowboys will trade up into the top five. **Claimed:** Apr 22, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-gustavson **Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/19060200-full-first-round-mock-draft-latest-nfl-news-podcast-for-4-22.mp3 20 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks, 3 draft bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 30 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 14 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 68.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I'm actually gonna go with David Bailey here, the edge rusher from Texas Tech. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 2.31 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson - Verdict: not settled yet - **K.C. Concepcion to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: K.C. Concepcion - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tony Pollard to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tony Pollard - Verdict: not settled yet - **Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dallas Cowboys to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Seattle Seahawks: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Nick Shook on Emmanuel McNeil-Warren: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 17.68) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76) - Scott Bogman on Kayden McDonald: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 47.88) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-gustavson