# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmorris gave his personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom he calls a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson.

**Claimed:** May 17, 2025
**Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/are-the-rankings-wrong-top-75-overall-player-rankings-impact-ep-1571

15 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 5 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 15 have settled, averaging 33.1 out of 100, against 72.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: DJ Moore, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 63.57 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 41.67 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- T.J. Hockenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-hockenson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones
- Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Garrett Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-wilson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Mike Evans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-evans
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Tyreek Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreek-hill
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on George Pickens: Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; he forecasts Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d95277c-e110-411f-8934-9a1282c3286e (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Cedric Tillman: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 0)
- Jake Ciely on Marvin Mims Jr.: Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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