# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmorris gave their personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom they call a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson.

**Claimed:** May 17, 2025
**Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/are-the-rankings-wrong-top-75-overall-player-rankings-impact-ep-1571

15 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 5 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 15 have settled, averaging 33.1 out of 100, against 72.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: DJ Moore, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- “I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]”
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 63.57 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 41.67 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- T.J. Hockenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-hockenson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones
- Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Garrett Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-wilson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Mike Evans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-evans
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Tyreek Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreek-hill
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on George Pickens: Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; they forecast Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d95277c-e110-411f-8934-9a1282c3286e (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Cedric Tillman: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than their QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 0)
- Jake Ciely on Marvin Mims Jr.: Counting down their top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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