# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan expects the Colts to reduce Jonathan Taylor's workload and give backup Seth McGowan more carries ahead of the trade deadline, predicts Lamar Jackson returns without rust and leads Baltimore to a road win over Buffalo, sees T.J. Hockenson scoring twice against Detroit, forecasts a breakout for rookie Antonio Williams, and picks Atlanta to upset Tampa Bay and take first place in the NFC South.

**Claimed:** Oct 29, 2026
**Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-8-shocking-predictions-colts-jonathan-taylors-lamar-jackson/

6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I can see Lamar Jackson showing little to no rust in his return and possibly even leading the Ravens to a road win in Buffalo.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Atlanta Falcons to beat Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 29, 2026): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **T.J. Hockenson to record 2 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Lamar Jackson is set to make his return to the field on Sunday against the Bills after missing the previous three games with an ankle injury... Look for Jackson to have a thunderous return in Week 8.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Seth McGowan, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- T.J. Hockenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-hockenson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson
- Seth McGowan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/seth-mcgowan
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Parker Hurley on Jessie Bates: Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e8279a5-fad4-4c61-9646-0809bdcdaf40 (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on Seattle Seahawks: Orr picks Seattle to beat Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09b4853b-c80a-445c-ba25-063ac28c86f5 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=tyler-sullivan
