# Joe House: He expects Houston to beat Dallas by a field goal or so, even though he isn't willing to lay the points himself.

**Claimed:** Oct 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Joe House — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-house
**Outlet:** The Bill Simmons Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-bill-simmons-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/GLT4671155573.mp3

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think that they're gonna win, and I think they're gonna win by, you know, three or four.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Houston Texans to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans

## What others said about the same people

- Kyle Crabbs on Jared Harrison-Hunte: Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e8a40874-e85c-44ec-a4c8-b6f0edbd22d2 (scored 0)
- JP Acosta on Derek Stingley Jr.: JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 (scored 100)
- Andrew Erickson on Joe Mixon: Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9442bb98-ffb3-4ee2-ad80-37bd5c8074f4 (scored 100)
- Dan Parr on Houston Texans: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/816599d6-f95e-4821-addf-bfd5466835e9 (scored 50)
- Gennaro Filice on Houston Texans: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e4ccf4a-3c43-43c3-9669-50148f4e5452 (scored 33.33)
- Seth Walder on Houston Texans: Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2136c2b6-89e5-4f73-ad78-28d4de9bb6be (scored 42.86)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on New Orleans Saints: Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ca3ccbb-227a-427f-9908-8f76be9e6b83 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on New Orleans Saints: Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e77c5e9-11e7-4be0-a350-19fa7d3b1165 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd praised Dak Prescott as the stabilizing force of the Cowboys and picked Dallas to beat Tampa Bay in their Week 5 matchup, while calling the Dallas coaching staff average. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ece798a4-5146-4cf5-a99a-af7c0ab17119 (scored 0)
- Mike Kadlick on Dallas Cowboys: Previewing Week 5 of the 2026 season, Kadlick picks the Bengals to blow out the Dolphins, the Cowboys to beat the Buccaneers comfortably, and the Chargers to finally win at home against the Broncos. He also expects Jayden Daniels back for Washington, Michael Pittman Jr. possibly out for Pittsburgh, and names the Week 5 starting quarterbacks for Tampa Bay, Chicago and New York. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/844b4070-91ae-4d59-acda-dd3bcef13c1c (scored 0)
- Caleb Skinner on Dallas Cowboys: Skinner expects the winless Buccaneers to lose their Thursday night road game against the Cowboys, citing Tampa Bay's 0-4 start and a depleted secondary. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b99fe46-c845-42da-a237-cf74e42331b6 (scored 0)
- Mitchell Eisenstein on Dallas Cowboys: The co-host (identified only as Mitchell) picked the 49ers to win in Seattle, made Week 5 picks across several games, ranked San Francisco first in his power rankings, took Dallas to win the NFC East and said Chicago wins the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8371ccc7-743b-4e3e-9110-79c54cc913ac (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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