# Todd McShay: McShay walks through the show's updated top 10 draft board a quarter of the way through the college season, with Jeremiah Smith and Leonard Moore holding 1-2, Trinidad Chambliss jumping to five and Dylan Stewart falling out entirely. He also calls Smith a top-five pick, keeps Stewart inside the top 20, says Arch Manning would not get out of the top 10 if he declared now, and says he would use the first overall pick on Kamario Taylor if Taylor were eligible.

**Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Todd McShay — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/todd-mcshay
**Outlet:** The McShay Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-mcshay-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/GLT6921604853.mp3

5 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

> He's the best player in the country. He's he's gonna be a top five pick.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jeremiah Smith to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiah Smith
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dylan Stewart to be picked “still top 20” (picks 1–20)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dylan Stewart
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning to be picked “not getting out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kamario Taylor to be picked “first overall pick”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kamario Taylor
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **One and two don't change... Dante Moore, arch still sitting there in the top five... Trinidad Chambliss... Now he is sitting at five on the board... Colin Simmons at six, Goosby at at seven. The two wide receivers, Charlie Becker and Cam Coleman at eight and nine, and then Darian Mensa at 10.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jeremiah Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiah-smith
- Dylan Stewart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dylan-stewart
- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Kamario Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamario-taylor

## What others said about the same people

- Kyle Crabbs on Arch Manning: In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/851c6bce-ef17-4f39-8c0f-58744c8d8f72 (scored 0)
- Rob Rang on Jeremiah Smith: Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd619cef-1878-4067-9021-a5ec734d35ed (scored 0)
- Rob Bushka on Jeremiah Smith: Buschka predicted Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith could be the No. 1 overall pick in next year's draft, that Ty Simpson will sit as a clipboard-holding backup, that the receiver the Rams passed on (Lemon) will break out with a huge target share once AJ Brown is moved to New England, and he called Sean McVay the best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d22056d2-7d39-488d-bec5-580108e3aca4 (scored 0)
- Daniel Wade on Jeremiah Smith: In a trade-back mock draft, Wade has the Chargers deal pick 22 to Miami and select edge rusher Cassius Howell at 30, guard Keelan Rutledge at 55, cornerback Malik Muhammad at 86, wide receiver Brennan Thompson at 87, linebacker Keyshawn Elliott at 123, and offensive tackle Travis Burke at 151. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/19828eac-29a1-4ecc-9d93-9e95f149a1f2 (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Arch Manning: Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/131d5e9e-fb6e-4065-b724-39f59b1083a6 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Arch Manning: Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2baf62d9-875a-4021-b4ba-f8e02158c8bb (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected him as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of his own from the 2024 pre-draft period, he suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if he declares. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in his 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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