# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal took the Texans, Steelers, Chargers, Bills, Broncos and Colts overs in their AFC over/under draft, agreed with the Ravens over, projected the Browns as a three-or-four-win team and the Patriots at about 10 wins, and floated Akeem Mesidor as a sneaky Defensive Rookie of the Year and Patrick Mahomes as MVP.

**Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://pdrl.fm/91be81/podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/9ce11dad-e86a-444f-ba83-ae27003475be/fc9f75c7-45ea-443f-9114-b4b9000e04f3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=deff018f-4b51-4501-937c-ae27003475d1

13 claims — 10 season win totals, 2 award picks and 1 playoff pick — the 9 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of the 9 calls we can check have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

The other 4 were too vague to check, so they are not graded.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

> I'm buying this team as a real deal Super Bowl contender, so I don't care about the schedule over nine and a half for the Texans.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 8–9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Patrick Mahomes to win MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Cleveland Browns to finish with 3–4 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tennessee Titans to finish with 5–6 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “That's not wrecking my board. It's on my board... I would have taken it today... But I'm on the same side of you there.”
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- “I'm going Texans over nine and a half as my team.”
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Akheem Mesidor to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9–10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “I'm going the other side over, by the way, I don't care about you thinking they're off the board.”
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- “and I went over on the Broncos. I'm with you... I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team”
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Denver Broncos to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Chicago Bears: Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5049c576-4d69-4d73-a0ba-6296e5e50ff2 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on San Francisco 49ers: Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3f0c208-282f-4dfc-8ca1-5c966eee0be2 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c48e72df-628e-4f24-804f-5ce5f7a8e0e6 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Las Vegas Raiders: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fb10c9f-9ceb-4be5-a8eb-c15baf405f23 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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