# Matt Harmon: Harmon picked the Seahawks over the 49ers, the Vikings over the Saints, the Falcons over the Ravens and the Jaguars over the Eagles by double digits in Week 5, and said San Francisco's offense would stay a top-five unit the rest of the way if its stars stay healthy. **Claimed:** Oct 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Matt Harmon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon **Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/729c1b22-9104-423b-b311-79e6a3348313/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=729c1b22-9104-423b-b311-79e6a3348313&feed=Nvy5cWFT 7 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls and 1 position group finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room. > I think the Jags might be the best team in the NFL. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Minnesota Vikings to beat Saints** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Now DJ Moore hasn't been healthy, which I think is a big problem for this team, and I I would guess he doesn't play in this game. (Week 5, Bills at Rams)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **That's the key here because Ramondra Stevenson likely gonna miss this game, I would guess based on the practice reports. (Week 5, Raiders at Patriots)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **San Francisco 49ers offense to be top 5 in the league** - Kind: Position Group Finish · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers ## What others said about the same people - Adam Carlson on Jordan Addison: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 0) - Brian Peacock on Jordan Addison: Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1325f8f-c996-4488-b063-fc4dfae1da59 (scored 0) - John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100) - Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24) - Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Los Angeles Rams: Mangini took the Titans to upset the Texans, and in the chips segment backed the Chargers to upset Denver, the Patriots over the Raiders, and the Rams over the Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af6364dd-ba73-40cb-95fa-a9fa3ddf962b (scored 0) - Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Rams: Rogers made straight-up winner calls across the Week 5 slate, siding with New England over the Raiders, the Saints upsetting Minnesota, the Colts winning in Pittsburgh, a Jets bounce-back over Cleveland, and the Rams edging Buffalo on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd2f886c-aba0-4ade-bae2-d6fed624673b (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-harmon