# Mike Fanelli: Fanelli names six players as his favorite 2026 redraft draft values based on Sleeper ADP, arguing each will outperform his current draft cost, with Chase Brown repeating as a top-10 back and DeVonta Smith posting a career year and top-12 receiver finish.

**Claimed:** Aug 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Fanelli — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-fanelli
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/top-6-fantasy-football-draft-values-on-sleeper-2026-picks-advice/

11 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4.

> Smith will have a career year and a top-12 finish this year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Chase Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (ADP 37.1 | WR16)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 187.5 | TE23)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ADP 41.2 | WR19)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (ADP 17.8 | RB10)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DeVonta Smith to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP 155.8 | RB45)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chris Rodriguez Jr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP 205.1 | QB26)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Juwan Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/juwan-johnson
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Zay Flowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zay-flowers
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-rodriguez-jr
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Baltimore Ravens: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Cincinnati Bengals: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Cincinnati Bengals: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 73.81)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Travis Kelce: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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