# Jeremy Pargo: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.

**Claimed:** Oct 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Jeremy Pargo — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-picks-week-4-2026-nfl-season

16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 19.1 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Both clubs are turning a corner after getting off the schneid in Week 3, but the Commanders are in a better place, even with their starting quarterback rehabbing another dislocated elbow.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Washington Commanders 24 — Indianapolis Colts 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 19.05 out of 100, against 10.86 for a naive guess
- **New York Jets 20 — Chicago Bears 18**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Jets
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Cincinnati Bengals 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arizona Cardinals 23 — New York Giants 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 — Green Bay Packers 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks 28 — Los Angeles Chargers 19**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Denver Broncos 16 — San Francisco 49ers 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Atlanta Falcons 22 — New Orleans Saints 19**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Pittsburgh Steelers 17 — Cleveland Browns 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills 24 — New England Patriots 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys 24 — Houston Texans 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams 33 — Philadelphia Eagles 26**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Minnesota Vikings 24 — Miami Dolphins 7**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Las Vegas Raiders 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens 24 — Tennessee Titans 10**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions 41 — Carolina Panthers 35**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions

## What others said about the same people

- Christian Booher on Blake Miller: Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/de49ff55-54a5-4410-ba7c-0b7e1f1a2f68 (scored 0)
- Richard Sherman on Washington Commanders: Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/955fb34c-41a3-4e87-817d-b29d2c000272 (scored 0)
- David Harrison on Washington Commanders: Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/557473e2-242a-41c5-beb5-026d792d86fa (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Washington Commanders: Brockman argued Buffalo belongs in the top five and Josh Allen will be an MVP candidate, said he'd drop Dallas from the list, and made his own picks in the international games win/loss game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ecf298ec-5674-4848-84f0-040409c29bdd (scored 0)
- Jordan Foote on Cole Christiansen: Foote writes that after the Week 4 game in Las Vegas, Cole Christiansen will revert to the Chiefs' practice squad, having exhausted his three standard elevations, and considers it unlikely Kansas City signs him to the 53-man roster given Cam Jones' remaining activations and a possible Cooper McDonald return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0f95f5c2-204e-4a55-9fef-acf1f0883817 (scored 0)
- Ralph Ventre on Kani Walker: Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94b844fe-bb22-4517-81f5-6263eb0213f1 (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Brooke Cersosimo on Indianapolis Colts: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7717b6ff-86ce-4cda-b192-202b3b80c3c7 (scored 64.29)
- Gennaro Filice on Indianapolis Colts: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e4ccf4a-3c43-43c3-9669-50148f4e5452 (scored 76.19)
- Bobby Kownack on Indianapolis Colts: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab70bbf8-6373-48ac-af86-ce8d9da4da35 (scored 66.67)
- Dan Parr on Indianapolis Colts: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/816599d6-f95e-4821-addf-bfd5466835e9 (scored 66.67)
- Seth Walder on Indianapolis Colts: Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2136c2b6-89e5-4f73-ad78-28d4de9bb6be (scored 69.05)
- Pamela Maldonado on Indianapolis Colts: Maldonado picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including Denver upsetting the unbeaten 49ers and Atlanta winning in New Orleans. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c41cfbfd-b264-4643-bbc5-e3ecc1d02e7d (scored 66.67)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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