# Nick Wright: Nick Wright unveiled his full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. He also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.

**Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM9501593377.mp3?updated=1776986030

36 checkable claims — 33 mock draft picks, 1 position order call, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 59 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

34 of 36 have settled so far, averaging 72.5 out of 100, against 48.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

> With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cashius Howell to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 59.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 2.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked “top 45” (picks 1–45)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 17.68 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to finish top 14 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Miami Dolphins to finish with 2 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston

## What others said about the same people

- Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1)
- Garrett Podell on Case Keenum: Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e92b59e-0dd1-43c3-80c1-6551a8b641ac (scored 100)
- Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0)
- Fox Sports on Case Keenum: A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3aff6d9f-b997-480e-b323-740b6a4677ed (scored 100)
- Fox Sports on Case Keenum: With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7726bb2f-b9aa-4c35-aa7b-e0b49990e867 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Carolina Panthers: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 50)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Scott Bogman on Romello Height: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 18.46)
- Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100)
- Kyle Brandt on Cam Ward: Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf3ad678-a0a0-49c1-a265-69812a3e5048 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright