# Jordan Reid: In his seven-round ESPN mock draft, Reed projected Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, had Monroe Freeling going 17th to Detroit as its future tackle, and gave the Lions Michigan edge Derrick Moore at No. 50, with a full slate of other first-round tackle projections.

**Claimed:** Apr 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Jordan Reid — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-reid
**Outlet:** Locked On Lions (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-lions-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/a0cc13/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/05bcf1ce-c643-45f9-b7f9-bd4cf110ab06/episodes/3c0963bc-818a-44d5-996c-5904e423e303/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=05bcf1ce-c643-45f9-b7f9-bd4cf110ab06&awEpisodeId=3c0963bc-818a-44d5-996c-5904e423e303&feed=ASw0G4io

14 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 86.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So at number 17 in Jordan reads, espn.com mock draft, He is the lion selecting Monroe Freeling, the tackle from Georgia.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **David Bailey to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Moore to be picked at number 50**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derrick Moore, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **D'Angelo Ponds to be picked at number 51**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: D'Angelo Ponds
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Derrick Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derrick-moore
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- D'Angelo Ponds — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-angelo-ponds
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Detroit Lions: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Philadelphia Eagles: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jordan-reid