# Nate Tice: Tice picked the Seahawks, Patriots, Rams, Vikings, Falcons and Jaguars in Week 5, and their hail Mary was the Texans beating the Titans by 17 or more points.

**Claimed:** Oct 8, 2026
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/729c1b22-9104-423b-b311-79e6a3348313/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=729c1b22-9104-423b-b311-79e6a3348313&feed=Nvy5cWFT

9 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks and 2 availability calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 28.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> My hail Mary is the Texans win by 17 or more.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans to beat Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- “and, Parkinson should be playing on Monday (Week 5, Monday night, Bills at Rams)”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Colby Parkinson, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “Lamar Jackson has a bum ankle right now, still doesn't practice, so likely be Snoop Huntley. (Week 5, Ravens at Falcons)”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Colby Parkinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colby-parkinson
- Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c6097f9-30ad-42dc-863f-e507225b7edc (scored 100)
- Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c269ea1-7c35-4039-827d-ec1130aa0e04 (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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