# Garrett Podell: In his Week 4 bold predictions, Podell picks the 3-0 Raiders to upset the Chiefs in Las Vegas, says Kyler Murray and the Vikings will cruise past the winless Dolphins while Murray sets Minnesota's single-game completion percentage record, and forecasts the Colts intercepting Marcus Mariota twice.

**Claimed:** Oct 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Garrett Podell — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/garrett-podell
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/week-4-nfl-bold-predictions-raiders-chiefs-kyler-murray-vikings/

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Crosby and the surprisingly frisky Raiders will shock the world on Sunday with an upset victory over the Chiefs to become the first team in NFL history to start a season 4-0 after back-to-back 13-loss seasons.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Las Vegas Raiders to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat Dolphins**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings

## What others said about the same people

- Joshua Schulman on Las Vegas Raiders: Schulman picks Las Vegas to hand Kansas City its first loss, expecting Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty to exploit a Chiefs defense he believes will be exposed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/924a6708-33e0-4e60-97a3-4fb98ce00f1d (scored 0)
- Dan Parr on Minnesota Vikings: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/816599d6-f95e-4821-addf-bfd5466835e9 (scored 64.29)
- Bobby Kownack on Minnesota Vikings: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab70bbf8-6373-48ac-af86-ce8d9da4da35 (scored 80.95)
- Brooke Cersosimo on Minnesota Vikings: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7717b6ff-86ce-4cda-b192-202b3b80c3c7 (scored 69.05)
- Gennaro Filice on Minnesota Vikings: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e4ccf4a-3c43-43c3-9669-50148f4e5452 (scored 90.48)
- Jeremy Pargo on Minnesota Vikings: Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c480715-cdf3-4092-ac36-f7a4e338e2eb (scored 71.43)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Pete Martuneac on Chicago Bears: Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9c04a22d-7a98-4ddc-bee0-22cdacb738e1 (scored 100)
- Tyler Brown on Kansas City Chiefs: Brown expects a grind of a game that the Raiders keep close, but believes Kansas City's weapons and experience in tight games carry the Chiefs to the win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47cc3b1e-16fb-4619-ad3b-89a78b9c93c2 (scored 100)
- Jordan Foote on Kansas City Chiefs: Foote doubts the Raiders' hot start is sustainable and picks the Chiefs to win on the road by one score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/604b134a-eb05-4979-96c0-eee6acf45bd3 (scored 100)
- Joshua Brisco on Kansas City Chiefs: Brisco expects the Raiders' edge rushers and Brock Bowers to create matchup problems, but picks Kansas City to win a close Week 4 game as the better overall team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/26d3a628-c294-4c8d-9855-6fe9b0eed394 (scored 100)
- Seth Walder on Miami Dolphins: Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2136c2b6-89e5-4f73-ad78-28d4de9bb6be (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Writing the counterpoint half of a paired preview, Huber laid out why Green Bay could be crushed in Tampa — heat, a league-worst running game against a stout Bucs front, and Todd Bowles blitzing a patchwork offensive line — but his own stated pick was that the Packers get the win they desperately need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/db282ca6-be52-4fe3-b4c8-2776ea776946 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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