# Connor Rogers: Rogers picked winners for every Week 7 game, taking the Chiefs to win in Seattle, the Packers to upset the Lions in Detroit and Dallas to win in Philadelphia, and said he doesn't expect a banged-up Arizona running back to play.

**Claimed:** Oct 23, 2026
**Pundit:** Connor Rogers — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers
**Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/bb4d6bab-0e58-4130-a31b-b4ec01158db6/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b

13 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 59.5 out of 100, against 32.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm taking the Packers to win as well, which is an upset.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Dallas Cowboys 23 — Eagles 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 8.32 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 26, 2026): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 3) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos to beat Arizona**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Broncos by 4.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 2 in 3 (67%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Lions**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Lions by 3.5 · underdog pick, Packers 37%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers 27 — Atlanta Falcons 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 77.89 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Jets to beat Dolphins**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Carolina Panthers to beat Bucs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cleveland Browns to beat Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Browns by 1.5 · a toss-up, Browns 54%, Titans 46%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **I I don't know the status of Jeremiah Love for this game. I don't think he's gonna play, then they'll get Bam Knight and Algier going. (Week 7, Broncos at Cardinals)**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jeremiyah Love, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on San Francisco 49ers: Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20e3b12-b0ca-45f8-a14c-925af9b754bb (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on San Francisco 49ers: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 92.86)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=connor-rogers