# Josh Alper: Alper expects the Colts' continued collapse — accelerated by trading away Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner — to leave the first-round pick the Jets own from Indianapolis much higher in the 2027 draft than the 16th overall selection they got from the Colts this year.

**Claimed:** Oct 27, 2026
**Pundit:** Josh Alper — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/josh-alper
**Outlet:** NBC Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/nbc-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/jets-stand-to-benefit-from-colts-fire-sale

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

> the other first-round pick looks like it will come much earlier in the 2027 draft

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Indianapolis Colts to pick “much earlier in the 2027 draft”**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Indianapolis Colts: Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. They also call the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names their top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d (scored 0)
- Jesse Holley on Indianapolis Colts: Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c8bf64dc-c1b3-42db-86f8-51b862676332 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Indianapolis Colts: Parkins predicted the Cowboys will finish 11-6, starting 5-1 with wins over the Giants, Commanders and an upset of the Ravens, splitting with Philadelphia, and beating Green Bay and Jacksonville, while losing to the Texans, 49ers, Eagles, Colts, Seahawks and Rams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a6d06c4-7bb0-43e7-891d-6f8b688d4f12 (scored 0)
- Jake Arthur on Johnathan Edwards: Arthur predicted a lopsided Jaguars win over the Colts in Jacksonville, 31-13, continuing the Colts' losing streak there, while offering a 'bold' counter-prediction that Daniel Jones accounts for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6d371d6d-9bb9-4350-a7a8-9c3c49578184 (scored 0)
- Drake Wally on Quenton Nelson: Despite the midseason firing of GM Chris Ballard, Wally expects the Colts to avoid a fire sale, predicting that core stars such as DeForest Buckner, Sauce Gardner, Jonathan Taylor, Grover Stewart and Quenton Nelson will not be shopped before the trade deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/285732b4-0f82-4f6e-83fb-552f54f51d37 (scored 0)

## More team draft slot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jake Riepma on Detroit Lions: Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. They also break down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ece8f439-040b-4b4d-bfb3-d443e4129200 (scored 100)
- David Harrison on New York Jets: Harrison proposes and defends a hypothetical trade sending Daron Payne plus a third- and sixth-round pick to the Raiders for Maxx Crosby, plus a follow-up trade of the No. 7 pick to the Jets for picks 16 and 33. They also state Fernando Mendoza is expected to go No. 1 overall to the Raiders, and floats the Jets taking David Bailey at No. 7 if they trade up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/926fe128-ea39-4ffd-8704-90791347ee9e (scored 100)
- Kent Swanson on Cincinnati Bengals: After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f65d9763-b3d3-476d-9f92-941deb6957ca (scored 26.11)
- Chris Brockman on New York Giants: Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cdde2d01-017b-4967-b1e9-ecfac647e306 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on New York Jets: Rich Eisen reaffirmed their pick of the Lions to win the NFC while insisting the Eagles remain the team to beat, predicted the Colts beat the Cardinals on a last-second field goal, said the Chargers will not miss the playoffs, and expects Jake Browning to keep starting in Cincinnati and JJ McCarthy to return as Minnesota's starter. They also praised Jonathan Taylor as the best running back and OPOY-caliber, called Emeka Abuka the offensive rookie of the year, agreed Kyle Shanahan is the coach of the year front-runner, and said the Jets will pick in the top five. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bdb0846e-88b6-4111-b16c-586fd6fc0435 (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Cincinnati Bengals: Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; they also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a980b3d-dd79-4893-80c6-4ee9d9dcd028 (scored 26.11)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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