# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.

**Claimed:** Aug 28, 2025
**Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/over-unders-with-nick-wright

6 checkable claims — 6 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 52.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess
- **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess
- **New York Giants to finish with 6 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 65 for a naive guess
- **Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 15 for a naive guess
- **New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints

## What others said about the same people

- Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1)
- Garrett Podell on Case Keenum: Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e92b59e-0dd1-43c3-80c1-6551a8b641ac (scored 100)
- Fox Sports on Case Keenum: A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3aff6d9f-b997-480e-b323-740b6a4677ed (scored 100)
- Fox Sports on Case Keenum: With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7726bb2f-b9aa-4c35-aa7b-e0b49990e867 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Chicago Bears: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 45.24)
- Phil Simms on New York Giants: Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149102cf-b9f9-4fd8-8a72-b501daece227 (scored 0)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100)
- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e745abb-ae8f-4f8c-893e-bfb5d53589b1 (scored 20)
- John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60)
- Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cc9d1905-c3e9-4d7f-8dbb-0f840dbb7535 (scored 20)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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