# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. **Claimed:** Aug 28, 2025 **Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/over-unders-with-nick-wright 6 checkable claims — 6 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 6 have settled, averaging 30 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to finish with 6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts ## What others said about the same people - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Cleveland Browns: Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e17eca2-e154-41f3-b116-389f8335f9c8 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on San Francisco 49ers: Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3f0c208-282f-4dfc-8ca1-5c966eee0be2 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c48e72df-628e-4f24-804f-5ce5f7a8e0e6 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Pittsburgh Steelers: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fb10c9f-9ceb-4be5-a8eb-c15baf405f23 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=gregg-rosenthal