# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan flags five Week 5 favorites he thinks are vulnerable, effectively picking the Raiders, Packers, Browns, Saints and Cardinals to pull off upsets. **Claimed:** Oct 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan **Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-5-upset-alert-why-five-favorites-could-lose-patriots/ 5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The Detroit Lions simply cannot be trusted as a road favorite with their current defense. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Arizona Cardinals to beat Detroit Lions** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5 · underdog pick, Cardinals 30%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cleveland Browns to beat New York Jets** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5 · underdog pick, Browns 44%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints to beat Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5 · underdog pick, Saints 44%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Las Vegas Raiders to beat New England Patriots** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders ## What others said about the same people - Donnie Druin on Jacoby Brissett: Druin writes that despite the 1-3 start and a three-interception game, Jacoby Brissett will stay Arizona's starting quarterback heading into the Week 5 game against Detroit, with Gardner Minshew and rookie Carson Beck remaining behind him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/680ba698-8a2c-4d83-9b6b-9b90e7643a8c (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Marvin Harrison Jr.: With a Marvin Harrison Jr. trade reportedly imminent, Kadlick names three landing spots that make sense for the Cardinals receiver: the Texans (reuniting him with C.J. Stroud), the Raiders (who lack a true No. 1 wideout) and the Patriots (thin at receiver due to injuries). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5be5d904-d1fd-4e46-b526-9b4a14383b4f (scored 0) - Carson Caldwell on Green Bay Packers: Caldwell predicts the Packers will score 30-plus points and upset the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d786dd9f-b1b7-4865-a32c-a429ffcb0092 (scored 100) - Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber expects the Packers to beat the Bears on Sunday, projects Green Bay's offensive line starters with Becton inactive, and says Becton's Packers debut will be delayed another week. He also lays out Chicago's backfield pecking order with Monangai out. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85788aa4-a800-40f9-af30-56c9697f2fb9 (scored 100) - Brooke Cersosimo on Green Bay Packers: Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd69c182-b54d-4692-912f-0dd26817dafb (scored 50) - Bobby Kownack on New Orleans Saints: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 33.33) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100) - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0) - Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=tyler-sullivan