# Ryan Tracy: Ryan lays out his draft board and expectations for the edge and interior classes: Arbel Reese is his top edge ahead of David Bailey and Ruben Baine, all three likely gone before Kansas City's ninth pick (though he thinks Reese could slip to nine), with TJ Parker and Messador off the board before pick 40, Fano going early, Freeling around pick 29, and Caden McDonald his top defensive tackle. **Claimed:** Mar 12, 2026 **Pundit:** Ryan Tracy — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ryan-tracy **Outlet:** Locked On Chiefs (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-chiefs-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/194e78/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/991e4a1b-5d12-4619-83ff-6448c2e3e44f/episodes/a9244034-52f3-498e-8a49-b0b761716c9a/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=991e4a1b-5d12-4619-83ff-6448c2e3e44f&awEpisodeId=a9244034-52f3-498e-8a49-b0b761716c9a&feed=9czLVzrJ 11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Cade McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Cade McDonald - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey - Verdict: not settled yet - **Carnell Tate to be picked “likely gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: not settled yet - **Monroe Freeling to be picked “right around this area (No. 29)”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling - Verdict: not settled yet - **K.C. Concepcion to be picked “more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arvell Reese to be picked “still available at No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rueben Bain to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. All of them very, very tight because Reiss is such a projection.** - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: not settled yet - **T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker - Verdict: not settled yet - **Spencer Fano to be picked “go up top”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano - Verdict: not settled yet - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor ## What others said about the same people - Patricia Traina on Arvell Reese: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100) - Nick Pedone on K.C. Concepcion: Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7401a6b-fdaf-4d71-84f3-d96262d88dcd (scored 100) - Nick Pedone on K.C. Concepcion: Reading the Browns' first depth chart, Pedone projects Deshaun Watson as the Week 1 starting quarterback, lays out the full projected starting offensive line with Parker Brailsford as backup center, expects KT Leveston to make the roster as guard depth, and names Jeudy, Concepcion, Boston and Bond as roster locks with Tylan Wallace as the fifth receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ad89afe-570a-4067-b536-6940a8533619 (scored 100) - Randy Gurzi on T.J. Parker: Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95db61d4-3514-4d17-aa02-ed56a31ecabf (scored 100) - Joe Marino on T.J. Parker: Joe Marino gives his final projection of the Buffalo Bills' initial 53-man roster after the preseason finale, naming who makes it, who gets cut, and who lands on injured reserve/PUP, along with several starting-job calls (Kyle Allen as QB2, TJ Sanders starting over Landon Jackson, Maxwell Hairston starting opposite Christian Benford, and Tommy Doman winning the punting job). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65f0752f-5147-4476-be34-4909b3c44bc8 (scored 100) - Zach Roberts on Monroe Freeling: Roberts projects the Carolina Panthers' 53-man roster following the Hall of Fame Game, naming every player he expects to make the team at each position, and pegs AJ Dillon as the fourth running back on the depth chart. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eef72be3-9114-401b-a6e8-2ffc335cc7fb (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. 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