# Ryan Tracy: Ryan lays out their draft board and expectations for the edge and interior classes: Arbel Reese is their top edge ahead of David Bailey and Ruben Baine, all three likely gone before Kansas City's ninth pick (though they think Reese could slip to nine), with TJ Parker and Messador off the board before pick 40, Fano going early, Freeling around pick 29, and Caden McDonald their top defensive tackle. **Claimed:** Mar 12, 2026 **Pundit:** Ryan Tracy — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ryan-tracy **Outlet:** Locked On Chiefs (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-chiefs-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/194e78/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/991e4a1b-5d12-4619-83ff-6448c2e3e44f/episodes/a9244034-52f3-498e-8a49-b0b761716c9a/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=991e4a1b-5d12-4619-83ff-6448c2e3e44f&awEpisodeId=a9244034-52f3-498e-8a49-b0b761716c9a&feed=9czLVzrJ 11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Cade McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Cade McDonald - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked “likely gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: not settled yet - **Spencer Fano to be picked “go up top”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano - Verdict: not settled yet - **T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arvell Reese to be picked “still available at No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: not settled yet - **K.C. Concepcion to be picked “more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rueben Bain to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain - Verdict: not settled yet - “Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. All of them very, very tight because Reiss is such a projection.” - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: not settled yet - **David Bailey to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey - Verdict: not settled yet - **Monroe Freeling to be picked “right around this area (No. 29)”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling - Verdict: not settled yet - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on K.C. Concepcion: Ross Jackson gave a no-trade prediction mock draft for the New Orleans Saints in the 2026 NFL Draft, starting with Miami edge rusher Reuben Bain Jr. at No. 8 overall and filling out all six rounds of Saints picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d29cb78c-fd06-4a28-8d1d-3007ca7f14d1 (scored 45.85) - Ross Jackson on Rueben Bain: Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e323d7a-8d67-43cc-a9f9-a18904a22a18 (scored 73.84) - Natalie Kerwin on Spencer Fano: Natalie's Lions mock pick at No. 17 in the 2026 draft was Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano, with Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane as their backup selection at that spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/503dc5ef-fda4-43d4-b916-2b3d3f140174 (scored 70.71) - Lance Zierlein on Carnell Tate: Zuerlein describes their mock draft 3.0: Carnell Tate to the Giants at No. 5, Sonny Styles falling to the Cowboys at No. 12, and Colton Hood to Dallas at No. 20. They also expect runs on linebackers from the late twenties to about pick 45, defensive tackles from the early-mid twenties into the 40s, and says Ahvion Terrell's 4.65 forty knocks them out of first-round contention. They call Kenyon Saddiq and Mansoor Delaine the safest picks for Dallas, and thinks Delaine's tape is top-four caliber, while Jeremiah Smith could be a generational, Megatron-type receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f8e6478-8ee7-441e-b2d1-d0a10233c34a (scored 95.76) - Jaime Eisner on Arvell Reese: A seven-round Jets mock draft projecting New York to take Ohio State's Arvell Reese at No. 2 and Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson at No. 16, followed by Ty Simpson, Brandon Cisse, Jalon Kilgore, Tyreak Sapp, Kaelon Black, Fernando Carmona and Trebor Pena. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab0fb4f4-96ef-49b5-95af-ce16ddebe50c (scored 87.81) - Aaron Ladd on Arvell Reese: Before the Chiefs' pick at No. 6, Ladd predicted Kansas City had traded up to take edge rusher Arvel Reese. After the pick, they framed Mansour Delaine as the immediate replacement for Trent McDuffie as the Chiefs' No. 1 cornerback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2d2b760-c7eb-48c2-b5f5-2235ff6868cf (scored 95.76) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ryan-tracy