# AJ Hawk: Hawk said his instincts were on Pittsburgh from the start and he stuck with the Steelers to win in Cleveland on Thursday night.

**Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026
**Pundit:** AJ Hawk — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/aj-hawk
**Outlet:** The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-pat-mcafee-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP3984338615.mp3

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I am going to stick with the Steelers minus two and a half on the road.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers

## What others said about the same people

- Nick Wright on Pittsburgh Steelers: Wright called the Chiefs the NFL's best team and predicted they'd control the Raiders on the road en route to the 12-5 season he had forecast, while also picking the Steelers, Bills and Vikings in Week 4. He expects Tyreek Hill to return to Kansas City, with his Arrowhead return coming Nov. 8 against the Jets, and sees Josh Simmons missing Week 4 but back by the Seahawks game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1084e46f-ca77-4c03-9425-ac0fa5492de2 (scored 0)
- Ty Schmit on Pittsburgh Steelers: Schmidt picked the Steelers to beat the Browns, arguing teams missing multiple offensive line starters play badly against fronts like Pittsburgh's, and he also said he doesn't believe Jerry Jones will pay Joey Porter Jr. right away in Dallas. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/82e62b39-211f-43a1-95fc-a260faf4b4a4 (scored 0)
- Chuck Pagano on Pittsburgh Steelers: Pagano picked the Steelers to win Thursday night in Cleveland, citing Pittsburgh's pass rush against a patched-together Browns offensive line and expecting a low-scoring rivalry game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf66fb18-c5a0-43d4-aa30-388d02edc42e (scored 0)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on Pittsburgh Steelers: After flirting with taking Cleveland because of the Browns' Thursday night home history, Connor landed on the Steelers to win the game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/355d60f8-6bfd-4870-b712-a1821d039d38 (scored 0)
- Anthony “Tone Digs” DiGuilio on Pittsburgh Steelers: Despite reciting the Browns' dominant Thursday night home history, Tone sided with the Steelers to win the game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cea3db87-dee9-43d7-96e6-baad881e39ac (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Pittsburgh Steelers: McAfee said he was taking Pittsburgh to win in Cleveland, noting the whole show ended up on the Steelers side. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7dae0653-3281-4bf4-9fb7-bdd301072b9b (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Simmons on Jacksonville Jaguars: Simmons said he would be shocked if New England beat Jacksonville in Week 3, and expected Case Keenum to be the Bears' quarterback that week with Caleb Williams banged up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb5738aa-d886-4399-87af-2e63293ddcb8 (scored 100)
- John Hickman on Houston Texans: Hickman picked the Texans to beat the Bengals in a high-scoring, close game at home, expecting Houston's defense to force a turnover or two, and said he expects Jadeveon Clowney to play. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bcdbdb5-aff1-4a22-b09c-8bf34c500544 (scored 0)
- Big Cat on Seattle Seahawks: Big Cat expected the 49ers to beat the Cardinals easily and the Rams to beat the Broncos, agreed the Seahawks would beat Washington, and said he doesn't think DJ Moore will play. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a569a60-9da7-494a-8aff-c366d6575d18 (scored 0)
- Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Rams: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Seattle Seahawks: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 100)
- Chris Long on New England Patriots: Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab903e00-9f1b-4862-91a6-96343679649c (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=aj-hawk
