# First Things First: The show's "Coach" used his Upset Alert selection on the New York Giants to beat the Houston Texans in Houston, arguing the Texans would be overconfident after their win in Jacksonville.

**Claimed:** Oct 23, 2026
**Pundit:** First Things First — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/first-things-first
**Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM7765707790.mp3

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm going with the New York Giants over the Houston Texans, and Houston's feeling great.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New York Giants to beat Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Texans by 10 · underdog pick, Giants about 1 in 5 (20%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 85.71)
- Chris Simms on New York Giants: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 95.24)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson walked through the Raiders' remaining schedule game by game, projecting losses to San Francisco, Seattle, Denver (twice) and Kansas City with wins over the Chargers, Titans and Cardinals for five to seven wins; he also said the Chiefs beat the Jets, picked the Giants to win at Philadelphia, expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c50f56a0-de88-4e0e-8138-841b13ff7433 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Eagles late in their NFC East rivalry game, 22-20, with Philadelphia's defense playing well against J.J. McCarthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d791242-6f6d-4749-b986-69dbfd7df841 (scored 85.71)
- Stephen Lebitsch on New York Giants: Lebitsch names the five remaining opponents the Giants should beat in their push for the NFC East title, ranking them from most to least challenging: the Lions, Browns, Cowboys, Eagles and Colts. He suggests New York can sweep both the Cowboys and the Eagles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a47df1b-c2d4-4d55-be4d-b8f60a980c1f (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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