# Cynthia Frelund: Freeland's model picks Cincinnati to beat Jacksonville by about six at home, New England to win at Miami, and Denver to beat Indianapolis on the strength of its defense; the model also has Minnesota beating Atlanta by three and Pittsburgh beating Seattle by two. They reiterated their Super Bowl pick of the Bills over the Eagles.

**Claimed:** Sep 12, 2025
**Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/week-2-picks-with-cynthia-frelund

6 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think Cincinnati wins by more than three and a half points at home against the Jacks.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots to beat Miami**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2025): Dolphins by 1.5 · a toss-up, Patriots 47%, Dolphins 53%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Seattle**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2025): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 63%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat Atlanta**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2025): Vikings by 3.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jacksonville**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2025): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 63%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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