# Justin Penik: Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants. **Claimed:** Mar 6, 2025 **Pundit:** Justin Penik — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/justin-penik **Outlet:** The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/football-today-jomboy-media/nfl-free-agency-predictions 9 checkable claims — 8 trade and signing calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 9.5 out of 100, against 53.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Sam Donald is gonna go to the Pittsburgh Steelers. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jamien Sherwood to move to Washington Commanders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jamien Sherwood, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Darius Slayton, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Charvarius Ward to move to Washington Commanders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Charvarius Ward, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to Pittsburgh Steelers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Zack Baun to move to Philadelphia Eagles** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Zack Baun, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Cam Robinson to move to Chicago Bears** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Cam Robinson, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cam Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Cam Robinson, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Aaron Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Rodgers to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jamien Sherwood — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jamien-sherwood - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Darius Slayton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darius-slayton - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Charvarius Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/charvarius-ward - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Zack Baun — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zack-baun - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Cam Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-robinson - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Max Brosmer: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Adam Carlson on Max Brosmer: Carlson argues that after a poor preseason showing, quarterback Max Brosmer should be cut by the Vikings, with the team then weighing a practice squad spot for him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0bca24b3-254a-4507-8c8e-65733ef0af1a (scored 0) - Garrett Podell on Case Keenum: Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e92b59e-0dd1-43c3-80c1-6551a8b641ac (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3aff6d9f-b997-480e-b323-740b6a4677ed (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7726bb2f-b9aa-4c35-aa7b-e0b49990e867 (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Chargers: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 0) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0) - Steve Kubitza on Za'Darius Smith: Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54fca826-8644-4e76-bc3f-5d8d44bcca23 (scored 100) - Mary Kay Cabot on Za'Darius Smith: Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb50e55-cb33-43c3-a427-d47904beb7bb (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on Austin Ekeler: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0) - Greg Auman on Will Levis: Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/55b7732a-4131-430b-adbf-a33c60c47dc0 (scored 100) - John Maakaron on Joe Bachie: Maakaron suggests several Lions players could be cut and land on other rosters: linebacker Joe Bachie, defensive linemen Ben Stille and Chris Smith, and running back Sione Vaki. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6cc7cac4-1a70-4e0a-a762-8c280319c3af (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=justin-penik