# Sam Monson: Monson expects the Bengals to beat the Titans comfortably at home, and expects Jacksonville to roll over a Colts team that is selling off players. He also sees New England handling Miami fairly easily and Dallas beating Arizona. **Claimed:** Oct 29, 2026 **Pundit:** Sam Monson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson **Outlet:** Check the Mic (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/check-the-mic-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/256/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV5041188971.mp3 4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > They should win this game pretty comfortably, and the more impressive they can look doing that, the better obviously for them. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New England Patriots to beat Miami** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Titans** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars ## What others said about the same people - Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29) - Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on New England Patriots: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0) - Connor Rogers on New England Patriots: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 0) - Chris Simms on New England Patriots: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 30.95) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100) - Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100) - Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100) - John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sam-monson