# Jack McKessy: McKessy's way-too-early 2022 NFL awards predictions: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year. **Claimed:** Feb 18, 2022 **Pundit:** Jack McKessy — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jack-mckessy **Outlet:** The Draft Network — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-draft-network **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://thedraftnetwork.com/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-roy-opoy-dpoy/ 8 checkable claims — 7 award picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 8 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 17 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The fifth-year starter will return to his early-season form with no picks in September and ride that momentum to high production and his second MVP award. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Kenny Pickett - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Patrick Mahomes to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kayvon Thibodeaux to win Defensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Kayvon Thibodeaux - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kenny Pickett to be the first or second quarterback off the board quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Kenny Pickett - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 36.26 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Kenny Pickett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenny-pickett - Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Michael Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-thomas - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Micah Parsons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/micah-parsons - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Kayvon Thibodeaux — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kayvon-thibodeaux - Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) - Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100) - Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Josh Downs: Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c94482-ef71-413f-834b-2a246271691d (scored 100) ## More award picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Wright on Sam Darnold: Wright picks Seattle to beat New England in the Super Bowl by a 27-17 final score, describing a semi-comfortable win, and names Sam Darnold as their Super Bowl MVP pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ff42b18-5a45-40e1-b3b6-17612cfca395 (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0) - Chris Broussard on Drake Maye: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0) - Willie Colon on Sam Darnold: Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6655a6f-9a44-46d4-8c76-0d96b7334211 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as their dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jack-mckessy