# Jack McKessy: McKessy's way-too-early 2022 NFL awards predictions: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year. **Claimed:** Feb 18, 2022 **Pundit:** Jack McKessy — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jack-mckessy **Outlet:** The Draft Network — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-draft-network **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://thedraftnetwork.com/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-roy-opoy-dpoy/ 8 checkable claims — 7 award picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 8 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 17 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The fifth-year starter will return to his early-season form with no picks in September and ride that momentum to high production and his second MVP award. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Kenny Pickett - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Patrick Mahomes to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kayvon Thibodeaux to win Defensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Kayvon Thibodeaux - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kenny Pickett to be the first or second quarterback off the board quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Kenny Pickett - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 36.26 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Kenny Pickett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenny-pickett - Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Michael Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-thomas - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Micah Parsons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/micah-parsons - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Kayvon Thibodeaux — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kayvon-thibodeaux - Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62) - Zach Hicks on Kansas City Chiefs: Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ddbaddad-c15e-4e6f-a6ac-f066de6cdc2a (scored 97.62) - Matt Harmon on Los Angeles Rams: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100) ## More award picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Gregg Rosenthal on Tristan Wirfs: Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88928365-78fb-4f7b-84a4-0dd7856ba9cc (scored 0) - Jourdan Rodrigue on Penei Sewell: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0) - Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0) - Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jack-mckessy