# Nate Tice: Tice picked the Packers to beat the Lions in Detroit, the Chiefs to win at Seattle, the Bengals to win at Baltimore with Lamar Jackson's status uncertain, the Texans over the Giants, and the 49ers over the Falcons. His Hail Mary was that the Vikings beat the Colts and hold Indianapolis to single-digit points.

**Claimed:** Oct 22, 2026
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/4724a71f-cd52-4df4-9093-83503c848493/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=4724a71f-cd52-4df4-9093-83503c848493&feed=Nvy5cWFT

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm gonna go with the packers here.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Texans by 10 · favorite pick, Texans about 4 in 5 (80%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Jared Koch on Houston Texans: Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2861ce9-d1de-4f34-b001-83e64c3f5770 (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on San Francisco 49ers: Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20e3b12-b0ca-45f8-a14c-925af9b754bb (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 80.95)
- Connor Rogers on Houston Texans: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Houston Texans: Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside his spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14c1f8dd-d8ff-498f-b705-4b468ff964f8 (scored 83.33)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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