# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan floats Week 6 outcomes he wouldn't be shocked by: MarShawn Lloyd running for 100 yards against Dallas, the Giants beating the Saints while the Cowboys and Eagles both lose to grow New York's NFC East lead to 2.5 games, Tennessee finally winning against the Colts, and Pittsburgh losing in Tampa Bay.

**Claimed:** Oct 15, 2026
**Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/it-wouldnt-shock-me-if-nfl-week-6-trevor-lawrence-giants/

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> And yet, it wouldn't surprise us if he went off in Week 6 to the tune of 100 yards on the ground.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Steelers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Steelers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 44%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Carolina Panthers to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Giants to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Tennessee Titans to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Colts by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans 28%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans

## What others said about the same people

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- Eric Mangini on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on Seattle Seahawks: Orr picks Seattle to beat Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09b4853b-c80a-445c-ba25-063ac28c86f5 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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