# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4. **Claimed:** Oct 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice **Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://prfx.byspotify.com/e/dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/clrtpod.com/m/arttrk.com/p/D5CA5/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/a425ba31-4316-4647-847e-b0030136e912/f4721ec2-5d20-46cf-b964-b4d7012d1216/audio.mp3?in_playlist=0afc299b-d04e-4bd7-91a8-b0030136e938 5 checkable claims — 3 availability calls, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 19.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'll say Duvall pulls this one out in a nail biter. 24 to 23 comes down to the last possession. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Bengals 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 39.34 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 24–23 calls a Jaguars win (by 1; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and fewer points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints to beat Falcons** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 5, 2026): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 48%, Saints 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **rookie right tackle Monroe Freeling has a concussion, so he probably won't play (Week 4 Lions at Panthers)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Monroe Freeling, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: not settled yet - **looks like there's a good chance rashad white misses this game with the shoulder injury (Week 4 Colts at Commanders)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Rachaad White, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Seems pretty unlikely plays. (on Devonta Smith for Week 4 vs. the Rams)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Rachaad White — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rachaad-white - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles ## What others said about the same people - Derek Brown on New Orleans Saints: Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ca3ccbb-227a-427f-9908-8f76be9e6b83 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Carson Steele: Kerr argues Joshua Weru making the 53-man roster is an overreaction, predicts Carson Steele has earned a roster spot (possibly beating out Cameron Latu for the fullback job), says Tanner McKee should and will be the QB2 over Andy Dalton by Week 1, and expects Darius Cooper to win the final receiver spot over Elijah Moore though he isn't a lock. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2fd41554-eb69-417a-9ad0-5a7640afc612 (scored 100) - Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as his favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; he also likes the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9443503e-89b7-461f-8b67-e99f60c8b5d2 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0) ## More availability calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jason La Canfora on Lamar Jackson: La Canfora writes that Lamar Jackson is out for the Ravens' Sunday night game against Atlanta and may miss the following week as well, with Tyler 'Snoop' Huntley taking over at quarterback. He also doubts Marvin Harrison Jr. will become the Ravens' complementary downfield threat. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11ca8085-2398-4f8c-95b7-9da6f25ba5d5 (not settled) - Chad Jensen on Ladd McConkey: Jensen expects Chargers receiver Ladd McConkey, listed as questionable with a foot injury after not practicing all week, to sit out Sunday's game against Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bb2b7d1-921f-46e4-ad3e-61b6ac77b679 (not settled) - Patricia Traina on Jihad Ward: With Chauncey Golston placed on IR, Traina expects newly signed Jihad Ward to be active against Washington and absorb a significant defensive role in Golston's place. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bc0d835f-406e-4fdb-ac72-89ed4bf46c62 (not settled) - Donnie Druin on Walter Nolen: Druin reads the Cardinals' Saturday roster moves as an indication that defensive lineman Walter Nolen III, listed questionable with a calf injury, is expected to be available for Sunday's Week 5 game against the Lions, and that linebacker Karson Sharar should also be good to go. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca3580c8-0e85-4615-9610-6a3a29c3bb6b (not settled) - Bill Huber on Mekhi Becton: Huber expects the Packers to beat the Bears on Sunday, projects Green Bay's offensive line starters with Becton inactive, and says Becton's Packers debut will be delayed another week. He also lays out Chicago's backfield pecking order with Monangai out. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85788aa4-a800-40f9-af30-56c9697f2fb9 (not settled) - Blaine Grisak on Aaron Donald: Grisak suggests the Rams and Bills could meet in the Super Bowl, implying both reach the title game. Otherwise the piece is largely descriptive and quotes from coaches and players. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ef08a750-e5af-404e-9e43-2dabc79d1819 (not settled) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-fitzmaurice